As earnings season nears, analyst upgrades and downgrades have sent ripples through the tech sector. This week, three major names—Autodesk, Datadog, and Microsoft—caught investors’ attention following high-impact ratings changes from top firms like DA Davidson, Guggenheim, and Oppenheimer.
From AI-driven optimism to execution risk, here’s what investors need to know.
Rating: Upgraded to Buy
Price Target: $375
Firm: DA Davidson
Date: Monday
DA Davidson raised its outlook on Autodesk, citing the company’s disciplined operational efficiency and growing momentum in platforms like Autodesk Construction Cloud (ACC) and Fusion.
The firm believes Autodesk is transitioning from a solid performer to a top-tier compounder, emphasizing margin scalability and recurring revenue expansion. Despite headwinds from the shift to a transaction-based model, Autodesk is “firing on all cylinders,” with strong free cash flow visibility.
Autodesk’s forward growth and profitability metrics can be tracked using the Key Metrics (TTM) API, offering real-time data on return on invested capital, EBITDA margins, and FCF conversion trends.
Bottom Line:
Autodesk is no longer just a stable asset—it’s now a growth engine with margin upside, making it a strong pick for forward-looking tech portfolios.
Rating: Downgraded to Sell
Price Target: $105
Firm: Guggenheim
Date: Tuesday
Guggenheim pulled back on Datadog over concerns that OpenAI—its largest customer—is shifting to in-house observability tools. This customer transition poses near-term revenue risk, especially as OpenAI phases out Datadog’s log management and metrics services.
Despite expected 25% Q2 growth, analysts forecast a slowdown to 17% by Q4, with a projected $150M revenue gap by 2026.
That said, Datadog’s category leadership and broad product portfolio position it for a long-term rebound, with 25%+ FCF margins possible by 2027.
Get deeper into Datadog’s revenue trends and valuation shifts using the Earnings Historical API, which allows investors to identify inflection points and guidance volatility.
Bottom Line:
Datadog remains a long-term winner, but short-term turbulence from OpenAI’s exit and subdued IT budgets create a rocky path to 2026.
Rating: Upgraded to Outperform
Price Target: $600
Firm: Oppenheimer
Date: Wednesday
Oppenheimer sees Microsoft’s AI story entering a new phase, fueled by Azure’s robust growth and expanding enterprise AI adoption. With OpenAI integration across its ecosystem and growing enterprise stickiness, Microsoft is building what the firm calls a “Rule of 60” business—a rare blend of growth and margin dominance.
This strategic positioning, Oppenheimer argues, has yet to be fully priced into the stock, especially as Azure is expected to reaccelerate by FY26.
Valuation Justification:
AI revenue visibility is increasing
Azure is becoming Microsoft’s AWS moment
Operating leverage remains intact
Bottom Line:
Microsoft is not just a software titan—it’s evolving into an AI infrastructure cornerstone, making it a premium asset with massive upside potential.
This week’s analyst activity highlights the importance of differentiation in today’s tech-heavy environment:
Autodesk is being rewarded for efficiency and execution.
Datadog faces temporary pressure from a key customer pivot.
Microsoft continues to lead the AI race, validating its premium multiple.
As the Q2 earnings cycle approaches, these strategic shifts could signal early positioning opportunities for both growth and value investors.
Use FMP’s Key Metrics TTM and Earnings Historical data to track earnings momentum, analyst revisions, and financial health across sectors.
